Predictors of long-term mortality in patients with ischemic stroke referred for transesophageal echocardiography.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE Findings on transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) after ischemic stroke predict recurrent embolic events and prompt therapy; however, the additive predictive power of TEE findings on long-term mortality is unknown. Our goal was to study the impact of TEE findings on all cause mortality in ischemic stroke patients referred for TEE. METHODS We reviewed 245 consecutive patients who underwent TEE for ischemic stroke of undetermined origin (2000 to 2003). Long-term survival was assessed using the Social Security Death Index. RESULTS In a mean follow-up period of 3.0 (1.4 to 4.8) years, death occurred in 19.2% of patients. TEE findings included patent foramen ovale (18.8%), left atrium/left ventricle thrombus (2.4%), spontaneous echo contrast (3.7%), atrial septal aneurysm (3.3%), valve vegetation/mass/tumor (7.8%), complex aortic atheroma ([CAA]; 14.7%), and the composite of any cardiac source of embolus (39.2%). A total atherosclerotic burden (TAB) score was also recorded. On Cox hazard regression analysis, measures of aortic atherosclerosis (CAA [hazard ratio (HR), 2.7; 95% CI, 1.4 to 5.3] or TAB score [HR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.2 to 1.6]) were independent predictors of death, whereas other TEE findings were not. CONCLUSIONS In patients with ischemic stroke of undetermined origin referred for TEE, measures of aortic atherosclerosis, including CAA, represent the only TEE findings that predict long-term mortality after all other clinical factors are considered. Further study is needed to determine whether treatments for CAA effect long-term survival in patients with ischemic stroke.